Forty four percent of Americans said public officials could

Donald Trump’s Latest Controversies Split Americans Along Party Lines

moncler sale outlet The reaction to new allegations against Donald Trump highlight deep partisan divides. A new set of polls finds Hillary moncler outlet Clinton ahead in key battleground states. And recent data suggests the presidential race in Texas is closer than expected. moncler outlet store This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, October 19, 2016. moncler sale outlet

moncler outlet uk PARTISANSHIP DIVIDES REACTION TO TRUMP SCANDALS HuffPollster: “Americans are more likely than not to consider the sexual assault allegations against Donald Trump credible, according to a new HuffPost/YouGov poll. But opinions are deeply divided along party lines, with many Republicans saying that, even if true, the allegations aren’t enough to disqualify him from the presidency. If the allegations are true, 44 percent of Americans say that should disqualify Trump from the presidency. Feelings about the broader topic of sexual assault are also significantly polarized. moncler outlet online As the political scientist Michael Tesler noted this week, Republicans especially those who supported Trump in the primaries were already more likely than others to believe that ‘women who complain about harassment often cause more problems than they solve.'” [HuffPost] moncler outlet uk

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cheap moncler jackets Allegations resonate personally for some More from HuffPollster: “For some people, the allegations have personal implications as well as political ones. Twenty eight percent of Americans say that they personally identify at least somewhat with the women who’ve made accusations against Trump. Among Americans who say that they’ve personally experienced a sexual assault, that number rises to 45 percent, with 31 percent saying that they feel ‘a lot’ of kinship with the women in question.” cheap moncler jackets

cheap moncler outlet Fewer Americans now say they care about “immoral” behavior from politicians From PRRI and Brookings: “Compared to moncler sale outlet 2011, Americans cheap moncler coats today are more likely to say elected officials can still perform their public duties in an ethical manner even if they have committed immoral personal moncler mens jackets acts. More than six in ten (61%) Americans say immoral moncler sale personal behavior does not preclude public officials from carrying out their public or professional duties with honesty and integrity; only 29 percent of the public disagree. In 2011, the public was much more divided over the connection between personal behavior and professional ethics. Forty four percent of Americans said public officials could still conduct themselves honorably in their professional duties even if they had engaged in immoral behavior in their personal life; an equal number (44%) of Americans disagreed.” [PRRI] cheap moncler outlet

moncler jacket sale FORECAST UPDATE Hillary Clinton has a 94 percent chance of winning the presidential election. Republicans have a 59 percent chance of keeping the Senate. [Presidential forecast, Senate forecast] moncler jacket sale

cheap moncler The presidential race looks far less monlcer down jackets competitive than in 2012 Clinton’s current margin over Trump, compared to Obama’s margin over Romney at this point four years ago: cheap moncler

moncler outlet store BATTLEGROUND STATE POLLS ARE VERY POSITIVE FOR CLINTON Dan Balz and Scott Clement: “Among the states that have moved in Clinton’s direction since the previous [Washington Post SurveyMonkey] 50 state survey are Colorado, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin. Of those, the results in Georgia differ from the current average of all recent polls in that state. The Huffpost Pollster average in Georgia gives a Trump a four point lead, while the SurveyMonkey poll puts Clinton ahead by four points. Texas is another state that, by historical results, should end up in Trump’s column. The SurveyMonkey results show the state splitting 44 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Clinton. The average of other public polls shows Trump with a larger, although single digit, lead there. The SurveyMonkey results also put Clinton in a stronger position in New Hampshire and North Carolina than other public surveys. Public polls in North Carolina buy moncler jackets show her with a low single digit advantage. In New Hampshire, public polls show her ahead but not by the 11 point margin in these findings.” [WashPost] moncler outlet store

cheap moncler jackets sale What’s driving the pro Clinton results? The poll’s strong findings for Clinton are mostly driven by college educated white voters, especially women, SurveyMonkey’s Mark Blumenthal told HuffPollster in an email. The poll’s estimates for likely voters don’t differ much from their registered voter model, he said. cheap moncler jackets sale

cheap moncler coats “National exit polls have shown monclerdownjacket Republicans winning the votes of college educated white moncler outlet sale voters for at least the last six presidential elections, with Mitt Romney’s 14 point margin the biggest since 1992,” Blumenthal wrote. “Our most recent week of national tracking gives Clinton a 20 percentage point lead (52 to 32 percent) among college educated white voters. That shift means that Clinton should be outpacing Obama’s 2012 performance in states where the percentage of college educated white voters is especially large or where the non college white population is particularly small. As David Wasserman illustrated in his New York Times op ed this week, states like Georgia, Virginia, Florida and North Carolina have fewer non college white voters than other relatively competitive states.” cheap moncler coats

moncler factory outlet TEXAS cheap moncler jackets LOOKS COMPETITIVE IN RECENT POLLING HuffPollster: “Donald Trump is still winning in [Texas], but his advantage has dropped precipitously from double digits to under 5 percent in the last two weeks. The last three polls in cheap moncler outlet the state show him ahead of Hillary Clinton by only 2 points in a Washington Post SurveyMonkey poll, 3 points in a University of Houston poll and 4 points in a Survey USA/Texas Tenga poll. A couple of earlier polls had signaled the race might be closer than expected, but there hasn’t been consistent evidence until now moncler factory outlet.